538 2024 Demographic Modelling. We hope you’ll use it to check our work and to create stories and visualizations of your. From 75 days out — around when we relaunched our 2024 forecast — to election day, the expected change in margin is closer to 6 points.

National polls of the 2024. From 75 days out — around when we relaunched our 2024 forecast — to election day, the expected change in margin is closer to 6 points.